Alfreton Town x Chester Betting tips for November 21 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Alfreton Town x Chester, Tuesday, 21/11/2023

📅 21/11/2023 19:45

Alfreton Town 2.10

X 3.20

Chester 3.04

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alfreton Town x Chester:

🔮 Alfreton Town wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alfreton Town, you can win up to $1050.00!

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Alfreton Town x Chester: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alfreton Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $73.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chester in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-65.0. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Alfreton Town scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Alfreton Town has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Chester playing at home.

📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Alfreton Town x Chester

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Alfreton Town x Chester?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Alfreton Town x Chester, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Alfreton Town x Chester for the England National League North – 21 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alfreton Town and Chester.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024310 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alfreton Town x Chester

Is betting on Alfreton Town worth it?

🔵 Alfreton Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – profiting $484.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$76.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $726.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$56.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Chester?

🔴 Chester: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $448.80;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$331.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alfreton Town x Chester

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alfreton Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alfreton Town x Chester

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Alfreton Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Alfreton Town.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Chester.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alfreton Town x Chester

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.