📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Almansa x CD Manchego CR
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Analysis from Almansa x CD Manchego CR for the Spain Tercera Group 18 – 19 of January
🏟️ Almansa X CD Manchego CR – Spain Tercera Group 18
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Almansa x CD Manchego CR right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289909 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Almansa x CD Manchego CR
Is it worth betting on Almansa?
🔵 Almansa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $385.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$395.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $782.60;
- And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$212.60.
Is betting on CD Manchego CR worth it?
🔴 CD Manchego CR: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 340 times – profiting $510.00;
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$150.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Almansa x CD Manchego CR
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Almansa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Almansa x CD Manchego CR
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Almansa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Almansa.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 CD Manchego CR.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Almansa x CD Manchego CR
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves