📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Altrincham x Torquay
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Analysis from Altrincham x Torquay for the England National League – 22 of January
🏟️ Altrincham X Torquay – England National League
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Altrincham and Torquay.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290605 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Altrincham x Torquay
Is it worth betting on Altrincham?
🔵 Altrincham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – profiting $650.00;
- And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$150.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $504.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$286.00.
Is it worth betting on Torquay?
🔴 Torquay: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $507.50;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$202.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Altrincham x Torquay
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Altrincham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Altrincham x Torquay
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Altrincham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Altrincham.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Altrincham x Torquay
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves