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21/11/2023 19:45 |
 Annagh United3.25 |
X 3.78 |
Loughgall  1.87 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Annagh United x Loughgall:
๐ฎ Loughgall wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Loughgall, you can win up to $935.00!
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The main points for the tip for Annagh United x Loughgall: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Loughgall in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. |
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Annagh United x Loughgall
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Analysis from Annagh United x Loughgall for the Northern Ireland League Cup – 21 of November
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๐๏ธ Annagh United X Loughgall – Northern Ireland League Cup |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Annagh United and Loughgall.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024310 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Annagh United x Loughgall
Is it a good idea to bet on Annagh United?
๐ต Annagh United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $472.50
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$317.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $472.60;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$357.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Loughgall?
๐ด Loughgall: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $548.10
- And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$178.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Annagh United x Loughgall
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Annagh United
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Annagh United x Loughgall
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Annagh United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Annagh United.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Annagh United.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Annagh United x Loughgall
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
