📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Apollon Pontou FC x Anagennisi Karditsas
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Analysis from Apollon Pontou FC x Anagennisi Karditsas for the Greece Super League 2 – 16 of January
🏟️ Apollon Pontou FC X Anagennisi Karditsas – Greece Super League 2
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Apollon Pontou FC x Anagennisi Karditsas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Apollon Pontou FC x Anagennisi Karditsas
Is it worth betting on Apollon Pontou FC?
🔵 Apollon Pontou FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – profiting $297.50;
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$652.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $380.25
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$489.75.
Should you bet on Anagennisi Karditsas?
🔴 Anagennisi Karditsas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $324.00;
- And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$134.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Apollon Pontou FC x Anagennisi Karditsas
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Apollon Pontou FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Apollon Pontou FC x Anagennisi Karditsas
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Apollon Pontou FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Apollon Pontou FC.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Apollon Pontou FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Apollon Pontou FC x Anagennisi Karditsas
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves