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16/1/2022 13:00 |
 Balikesirspor6.36 |
X 3.95 |
Samsunspor  1.45 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Balikesirspor x Samsunspor:
๐ฎ Samsunspor wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Samsunspor, you can win up to $725.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Balikesirspor x Samsunspor
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Analysis from Balikesirspor x Samsunspor for the Turkey 1 Lig – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Balikesirspor X Samsunspor – Turkey 1 Lig |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Balikesirspor x Samsunspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Balikesirspor x Samsunspor
Is it worth betting on Balikesirspor?
๐ต Balikesirspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $428.80;
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$491.20.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $501.50;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$328.50.
Is betting on Samsunspor worth it?
๐ด Samsunspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 750 times – profiting $337.50;
- And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$87.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Balikesirspor x Samsunspor
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Balikesirspor
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Balikesirspor x Samsunspor
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Balikesirspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Balikesirspor.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Balikesirspor x Samsunspor
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
