| π
16/1/2022 11:00 |
 Bangkok United1.37 |
X 4.54 |
Samut Prakan City  6.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bangkok United x Samut Prakan City:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Bangkok United x Samut Prakan City
π Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Bangkok United x Samut Prakan City
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Analysis from Bangkok United x Samut Prakan City for the Thailand Premier League – 16 of January
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ποΈ Bangkok United X Samut Prakan City – Thailand Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bangkok United x Samut Prakan City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bangkok United x Samut Prakan City
Should you bet on Bangkok United?
π΅ Bangkok United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $273.80
- And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$13.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $460.20
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$409.80.
Should you bet on Samut Prakan City?
π΄ Samut Prakan City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$220.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bangkok United x Samut Prakan City
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Bangkok United
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bangkok United x Samut Prakan City
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Bangkok United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Bangkok United.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Samut Prakan City.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bangkok United x Samut Prakan City
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
