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19/1/2022 19:00 |
 Benfica U191.25 |
X 5.15 |
Vitoria Setubal U19  8.82 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Benfica U19 x Vitoria Setubal U19:
๐ฎ Benfica U19 wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica U19, you can win up to $627.25!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Benfica U19 x Vitoria Setubal U19
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Analysis from Benfica U19 x Vitoria Setubal U19 for the Portugal U19 League – 19 of January
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๐๏ธ Benfica U19 X Vitoria Setubal U19 – Portugal U19 League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Benfica U19 x Vitoria Setubal U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289909 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Benfica U19 x Vitoria Setubal U19
Should you bet on Benfica U19?
๐ต Benfica U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 98.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 980 times – having a profit of $249.41;
- And would lose other 20 times – losing -$20.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$229.41.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $41.50
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$948.50.
Is betting on Vitoria Setubal U19 worth it?
๐ด Vitoria Setubal U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $78.25;
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$911.75.
Handicaps analysis for the match Benfica U19 x Vitoria Setubal U19
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Benfica U19
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benfica U19 x Vitoria Setubal U19
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Benfica U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Benfica U19.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benfica U19 x Vitoria Setubal U19
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
