📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Birmingham x Barnsley
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Analysis from Birmingham x Barnsley for the England Championship – 22 of January
🏟️ Birmingham X Barnsley – England Championship
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Birmingham and Barnsley.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Birmingham x Barnsley
Is it worth betting on Birmingham?
🔵 Birmingham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $421.80
- And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$8.20.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $637.50;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$112.50.
Is betting on Barnsley worth it?
🔴 Barnsley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $630.00;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Birmingham x Barnsley
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Birmingham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Birmingham x Barnsley
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Birmingham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Birmingham.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Barnsley.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Birmingham x Barnsley
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves