| π
16/1/2022 10:00 |
 Bordeaux U191.71 |
X 3.65 |
Brest U19  4.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bordeaux U19 x Brest U19:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Bordeaux U19 x Brest U19
π Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Bordeaux U19 x Brest U19
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Analysis from Bordeaux U19 x Brest U19 for the France U19 League – 16 of January
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ποΈ Bordeaux U19 X Brest U19 – France U19 League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bordeaux U19 and Brest U19.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Bordeaux U19 x Brest U19
Is betting on Bordeaux U19 worth it?
π΅ Bordeaux U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.71. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 600 times – profiting $428.40;
- And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$28.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $556.50
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$233.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Brest U19?
π΄ Brest U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$240.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bordeaux U19 x Brest U19
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Bordeaux U19
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bordeaux U19 x Brest U19
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Bordeaux U19 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Bordeaux U19.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Brest U19.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bordeaux U19 x Brest U19
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
