📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for CD Aguila x Jocoro FC
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Analysis from CD Aguila x Jocoro FC for the El Salvador Clausura – 16 of January
🏟️ CD Aguila X Jocoro FC – El Salvador Clausura
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Aguila and Jocoro FC.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Aguila x Jocoro FC
Is it a good idea to bet on CD Aguila?
🔵 CD Aguila: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
- And would lose other 250 times – having a loss of -$250.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$200.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.
Is betting on Jocoro FC worth it?
🔴 Jocoro FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $425.00
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$475.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Aguila x Jocoro FC
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 CD Aguila
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Aguila x Jocoro FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 CD Aguila and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 CD Aguila.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 CD Aguila.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Aguila x Jocoro FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves