📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for CD Huetor Vega x Alhaurino
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Analysis from CD Huetor Vega x Alhaurino for the Spain Tercera Group 9 – 19 of January
🏟️ CD Huetor Vega X Alhaurino – Spain Tercera Group 9
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Huetor Vega x Alhaurino right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289909 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Huetor Vega x Alhaurino
Should you bet on CD Huetor Vega?
🔵 CD Huetor Vega: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $370.60;
- And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$50.60.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $508.25;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$301.75.
Is it worth betting on Alhaurino?
🔴 Alhaurino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $492.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$388.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Huetor Vega x Alhaurino
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Huetor Vega
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Huetor Vega x Alhaurino
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 CD Huetor Vega, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 CD Huetor Vega.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Alhaurino.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Huetor Vega x Alhaurino
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves