📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for CD Platense Zacatecoluca x Santa Tecla
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Analysis from CD Platense Zacatecoluca x Santa Tecla for the El Salvador Clausura – 16 of January
🏟️ CD Platense Zacatecoluca X Santa Tecla – El Salvador Clausura
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Platense Zacatecoluca x Santa Tecla right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288253 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Platense Zacatecoluca x Santa Tecla
Is it worth betting on CD Platense Zacatecoluca?
🔵 CD Platense Zacatecoluca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $637.55;
- And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$47.55, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $457.65;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$272.35.
Is it a good idea to bet on Santa Tecla?
🔴 Santa Tecla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $608.00
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Platense Zacatecoluca x Santa Tecla
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Platense Zacatecoluca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Platense Zacatecoluca x Santa Tecla
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 CD Platense Zacatecoluca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 CD Platense Zacatecoluca.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Platense Zacatecoluca x Santa Tecla
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves