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Cercle Brugge x Club Brugge Betting tips for December 26 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for Cercle Brugge x Club Brugge, Sunday, 26/12/2021
πŸ“… 26/12/2021
12:30
Cercle Brugge
4.20
X
3.90
Club Brugge
1.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cercle Brugge x Club Brugge:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Cercle Brugge x Club Brugge

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Cercle Brugge x Club Brugge

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Analysis from Cercle Brugge x Club Brugge for the Belgium First Division A – 26 of December

🏟️ Cercle Brugge X Club Brugge – Belgium First Division A
πŸ“… 26 of December, 2021 – 12:30
πŸ”΅ Cercle Brugge – Winning probability: 20.09% | Fair line: 4.98
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.56% | Fair line: 4.07
πŸ”΄ Club Brugge – Winning probability: 55.35% | Fair line: 1.81
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Cercle Brugge
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cercle Brugge x Club Brugge is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 281997 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cercle Brugge x Club Brugge

Is it a good idea to bet on Cercle Brugge?

πŸ”΅ Cercle Brugge: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $640.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$160.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $725.00
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$25.00.

Should you bet on Club Brugge?

πŸ”΄ Club Brugge: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – profiting $385.00;
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

That is why bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$65.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cercle Brugge x Club Brugge

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Cercle Brugge
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the market Handicap 1×2 for Cercle Brugge x Club Brugge

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Cercle Brugge, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Cercle Brugge.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Cercle Brugge.

Tips for the market Goals Handicap for Cercle Brugge x Club Brugge

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Besides the artificial intelligence that you have here, our sporting bets experts are on YouTube searching for the best bets for Sunday. Right above you can check our last analysis and be a part of the community by subscribing on our betting tips channel on YouTube.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves