📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Chaves x Varzim
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Chaves x Varzim?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Chaves x Varzim:
Analysis from Chaves x Varzim for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 16 of January
🏟️ Chaves X Varzim – Portugal Segunda Liga
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chaves and Varzim.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288253 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Chaves x Varzim
Is it a good idea to bet on Chaves?
🔵 Chaves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 630 times – profiting $420.84;
- And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$50.84. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $566.40
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$193.60.
Is betting on Varzim worth it?
🔴 Varzim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $495.30;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$374.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chaves x Varzim
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chaves x Varzim
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Chaves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Chaves. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chaves x Varzim
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Sunday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Do you want to get more tips on your cellphone on this Sunday? Besides the predictions made by our artificial intelligence algorithms for Chaves x Varzim that you check here, on our Telegram group our experts select the highest value bets to share with you. And the best: it is free! Click on the banner below and start receiving our tips today:
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves