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Chesham x Sholing Betting tips for November 21 in England Southern Premier League South

Our betting tip for Chesham x Sholing, Tuesday, 21/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 21/11/2023
19:45
Chesham Chesham
1.44
X
4.33
Sholing Sholing
5.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Chesham x Sholing:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Chesham wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chesham, you can win up to $720.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Chesham x Sholing:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chesham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $115.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sholing in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Sholing has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Chesham x Sholing

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Chesham x Sholing?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Chesham x Sholing:

Analysis from Chesham x Sholing for the England Southern Premier League South – 21 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Chesham X Sholing – England Southern Premier League South
๐Ÿ“… 21 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Chesham – Winning probability: 79.07% | Fair line: 1.26
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.85% | Fair line: 7.22
๐Ÿ”ด Sholing – Winning probability: 7.08% | Fair line: 14.13
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Chesham
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Chesham x Sholing is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024310 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chesham x Sholing

Should you bet on Chesham?

๐Ÿ”ต Chesham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $347.60;
  • And would lose other 210 times – losing -$210.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$137.60.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $466.20;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$393.80.

Is betting on Sholing worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Sholing: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $297.50;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$632.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chesham x Sholing

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Chesham
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chesham x Sholing

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Chesham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Chesham.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chesham x Sholing

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves