📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Chester x Brackley
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Analysis from Chester x Brackley for the England National League North – 15 of January
🏟️ Chester X Brackley – England National League North
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chester x Brackley right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Chester x Brackley
Is it a good idea to bet on Chester?
🔵 Chester: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $444.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$316.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $644.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.00.
Should you bet on Brackley?
🔴 Brackley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – profiting $578.20;
- And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$68.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chester x Brackley
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Chester
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chester x Brackley
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Chester, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Chester.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chester x Brackley
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves