📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Como x Crotone
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Analysis from Como x Crotone for the Italy Serie B – 22 of January
🏟️ Como X Crotone – Italy Serie B
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Como x Crotone right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290605 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Como x Crotone
Is it worth betting on Como?
🔵 Como: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $574.20
- And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$154.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $552.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Crotone?
🔴 Crotone: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $477.00
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$343.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Como x Crotone
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Como
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Como x Crotone
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Como, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Como.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Crotone.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Como x Crotone
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves