📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for CSD Agua Blanca x Zacapa Tellioz
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Analysis from CSD Agua Blanca x Zacapa Tellioz for the Guatemala Primera Division – 16 of January
🏟️ CSD Agua Blanca X Zacapa Tellioz – Guatemala Primera Division
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CSD Agua Blanca x Zacapa Tellioz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288253 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for CSD Agua Blanca x Zacapa Tellioz
Should you bet on CSD Agua Blanca?
🔵 CSD Agua Blanca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $600.00;
- And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $580.50;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$149.50.
Should you bet on Zacapa Tellioz?
🔴 Zacapa Tellioz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $437.50;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$312.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match CSD Agua Blanca x Zacapa Tellioz
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CSD Agua Blanca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CSD Agua Blanca x Zacapa Tellioz
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 CSD Agua Blanca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 CSD Agua Blanca.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Zacapa Tellioz.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CSD Agua Blanca x Zacapa Tellioz
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves