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15/1/2022 16:00 |
 CSD Camara Lobos15.66 |
X 6.80 |
Maritimo B  1.12 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for CSD Camara Lobos x Maritimo B:
๐ฎ Maritimo B wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Maritimo B, you can win up to $561.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for CSD Camara Lobos x Maritimo B
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Analysis from CSD Camara Lobos x Maritimo B for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 15 of January
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๐๏ธ CSD Camara Lobos X Maritimo B – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CSD Camara Lobos x Maritimo B right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CSD Camara Lobos x Maritimo B
Is it a good idea to bet on CSD Camara Lobos?
๐ต CSD Camara Lobos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 15.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
- And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$1000.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
- And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$1000.00.
Is betting on Maritimo B worth it?
๐ด Maritimo B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 1000 times – having a profit of $122.00;
- And would have lost other 0 times – with a loss of -$0.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$122.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match CSD Camara Lobos x Maritimo B
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 CSD Camara Lobos
โฝ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CSD Camara Lobos x Maritimo B
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.25 CSD Camara Lobos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +2.0 CSD Camara Lobos.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 Maritimo B.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CSD Camara Lobos x Maritimo B
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
