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Analysis from Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios for the Colombia Primera A – 22 of January
🏟️ Deportivo Pasto X Millonarios – Colombia Primera A
When the best bet on Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290581 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios
Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Pasto?
🔵 Deportivo Pasto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $463.50;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$386.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $704.00;
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$24.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it worth betting on Millonarios?
🔴 Millonarios: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – profiting $455.80;
- And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$14.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Deportivo Pasto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Deportivo Pasto, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Deportivo Pasto.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves