📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Exeter x Scunthorpe
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Analysis from Exeter x Scunthorpe for the England League 2 – 15 of January
🏟️ Exeter X Scunthorpe – England League 2
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Exeter x Scunthorpe right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Exeter x Scunthorpe
Is it a good idea to bet on Exeter?
🔵 Exeter: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $455.00
- And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$105.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $503.50;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$306.50.
Is betting on Scunthorpe worth it?
🔴 Scunthorpe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Exeter x Scunthorpe
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Exeter
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Exeter x Scunthorpe
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Exeter, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Exeter.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Scunthorpe.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Exeter x Scunthorpe
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves