📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for FC Utrecht Reserves x FC Dordrecht
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Analysis from FC Utrecht Reserves x FC Dordrecht for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 21 of January
🏟️ FC Utrecht Reserves X FC Dordrecht – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Utrecht Reserves and FC Dordrecht.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290581 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Utrecht Reserves x FC Dordrecht
Is betting on FC Utrecht Reserves worth it?
🔵 FC Utrecht Reserves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $710.00
- And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$420.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $234.00;
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$676.00.
Is betting on FC Dordrecht worth it?
🔴 FC Dordrecht: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $440.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$360.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Utrecht Reserves x FC Dordrecht
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Utrecht Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Utrecht Reserves x FC Dordrecht
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 FC Utrecht Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 FC Utrecht Reserves.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Utrecht Reserves x FC Dordrecht
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves