Fortaleza EC x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for May 1 in Copa do Brasil
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1/5/2024 22:00 |
Fortaleza EC 1.72 |
X 3.50 |
Vasco da Gama 4.33 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fortaleza EC x Vasco da Gama:
๐ฎ Fortaleza EC wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza EC, you can win up to $860.00!
Some important points for the tip for Fortaleza EC x Vasco da Gama: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza EC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. |
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Analysis from Fortaleza EC x Vasco da Gama for the Copa do Brasil – 1 of May
๐๏ธ Fortaleza EC X Vasco da Gama – Copa do Brasil |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fortaleza EC and Vasco da Gama.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1109949 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Fortaleza EC x Vasco da Gama
Is it worth betting on Fortaleza EC?
๐ต Fortaleza EC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 670 times – profiting $482.40;
- And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$152.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$370.00.
Is it worth betting on Vasco da Gama?
๐ด Vasco da Gama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $499.50;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$350.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza EC x Vasco da Gama
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fortaleza EC
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza EC x Vasco da Gama
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Fortaleza EC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Fortaleza EC.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Vasco da Gama.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza EC x Vasco da Gama
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.