📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Girona x Rayo Vallecano
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Analysis from Girona x Rayo Vallecano for the Spain Copa del Rey – 15 of January
🏟️ Girona X Rayo Vallecano – Spain Copa del Rey
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Girona x Rayo Vallecano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Girona x Rayo Vallecano
Is it worth betting on Girona?
🔵 Girona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $688.00
- And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$118.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $533.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$207.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Rayo Vallecano?
🔴 Rayo Vallecano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.77. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $531.00;
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$169.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Girona x Rayo Vallecano
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Girona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Girona x Rayo Vallecano
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Girona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Girona.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Girona.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Girona x Rayo Vallecano
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves