π
18/1/2022 19:45 |
![]() 1.48 |
X 4.03 |
Braintree Town ![]() 5.45 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town
π Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town
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Analysis from Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town for the England National League South – 18 of January
ποΈ Hampton & Richmond X Braintree Town – England National League South |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hampton & Richmond and Braintree Town.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288253 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town
Is betting on Hampton & Richmond worth it?
π΅ Hampton & Richmond: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 680 times – profiting $326.40;
- And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$6.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $514.25
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$315.75.
Should you bet on Braintree Town?
π΄ Braintree Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $667.50
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$182.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hampton & Richmond
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Hampton & Richmond, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Hampton & Richmond.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Braintree Town.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hampton & Richmond x Braintree Town
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves