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16/1/2022 18:00 |
 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona2.34 |
X 3.10 |
Beitar Jerusalem  2.90 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Beitar Jerusalem:
๐ฎ Hapoel Kiryat Shmona wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hapoel Kiryat Shmona, you can win up to $1170.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Beitar Jerusalem
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Beitar Jerusalem?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Beitar Jerusalem:
Analysis from Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Beitar Jerusalem for the Israel Premier League – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Hapoel Kiryat Shmona X Beitar Jerusalem – Israel Premier League |
When the best bet on Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Beitar Jerusalem is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288253 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Beitar Jerusalem
Is betting on Hapoel Kiryat Shmona worth it?
๐ต Hapoel Kiryat Shmona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $804.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$404.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $504.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$256.00.
Is betting on Beitar Jerusalem worth it?
๐ด Beitar Jerusalem: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $304.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$536.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Beitar Jerusalem
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Beitar Jerusalem
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Kiryat Shmona x Beitar Jerusalem
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
