📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Ironi Ramat Hasharon
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Analysis from Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Ironi Ramat Hasharon for the Israel Leumit Liga – 17 of January
🏟️ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm X Ironi Ramat Hasharon – Israel Leumit Liga
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and Ironi Ramat Hasharon.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288303 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Ironi Ramat Hasharon
Is it worth betting on Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
🔵 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $556.15
- And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$46.15.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $637.50
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$62.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Ironi Ramat Hasharon?
🔴 Ironi Ramat Hasharon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $452.55
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$337.45.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Ironi Ramat Hasharon
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Ironi Ramat Hasharon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm x Ironi Ramat Hasharon
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves