📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Hearts of Oak x Eleven Wonders
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Analysis from Hearts of Oak x Eleven Wonders for the Ghana Premier League – 16 of January
🏟️ Hearts of Oak X Eleven Wonders – Ghana Premier League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hearts of Oak x Eleven Wonders right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Hearts of Oak x Eleven Wonders
Is it a good idea to bet on Hearts of Oak?
🔵 Hearts of Oak: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 90.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 910 times – profiting $234.78;
- And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$144.78.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $259.17
- And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$670.83.
Is it worth betting on Eleven Wonders?
🔴 Eleven Wonders: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $173.30
- And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$806.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hearts of Oak x Eleven Wonders
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Hearts of Oak
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hearts of Oak x Eleven Wonders
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Hearts of Oak and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Hearts of Oak.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hearts of Oak x Eleven Wonders
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves