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18/1/2022 19:45 |
 Hereford FC2.86 |
X 3.35 |
Kidderminster  2.20 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Hereford FC x Kidderminster:
๐ฎ Kidderminster wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kidderminster, you can win up to $1100.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Hereford FC x Kidderminster
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Analysis from Hereford FC x Kidderminster for the England National League North – 18 of January
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๐๏ธ Hereford FC X Kidderminster – England National League North |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Hereford FC x Kidderminster right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 289715 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Hereford FC x Kidderminster
Is betting on Hereford FC worth it?
๐ต Hereford FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $372.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$428.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $540.50
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$229.50.
Should you bet on Kidderminster?
๐ด Kidderminster: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $684.00
- And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$254.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hereford FC x Kidderminster
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Hereford FC
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hereford FC x Kidderminster
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Hereford FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Hereford FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Hereford FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hereford FC x Kidderminster
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
