📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Keciorengucu x Eyupspor
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Analysis from Keciorengucu x Eyupspor for the Turkey 1 Lig – 16 of January
🏟️ Keciorengucu X Eyupspor – Turkey 1 Lig
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Keciorengucu and Eyupspor.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Keciorengucu x Eyupspor
Is it worth betting on Keciorengucu?
🔵 Keciorengucu: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $687.80;
- And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$67.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $638.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.
Should you bet on Eyupspor?
🔴 Eyupspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $435.60;
- And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$234.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Keciorengucu x Eyupspor
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Keciorengucu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Keciorengucu x Eyupspor
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Keciorengucu and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Keciorengucu.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Keciorengucu.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Keciorengucu x Eyupspor
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves