| 📅 15/1/2022 18:00 |
 Lafia Club de Bamako3.50 |
X 2.79 |
Onze Créateurs  2.15 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lafia Club de Bamako x Onze Créateurs:
🔮 Lafia Club de Bamako wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lafia Club de Bamako, you can win up to $1750.00!
📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Lafia Club de Bamako x Onze Créateurs
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Analysis from Lafia Club de Bamako x Onze Créateurs for the Mali Premiere Division – 15 of January
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🏟️ Lafia Club de Bamako X Onze Créateurs – Mali Premiere Division |
When the best bet on Lafia Club de Bamako x Onze Créateurs is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Lafia Club de Bamako x Onze Créateurs
Should you bet on Lafia Club de Bamako?
🔵 Lafia Club de Bamako: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $1025.00;
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$435.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.79. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $430.80;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$329.20.
Is it worth betting on Onze Créateurs?
🔴 Onze Créateurs: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $391.00;
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$269.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lafia Club de Bamako x Onze Créateurs
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Lafia Club de Bamako
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lafia Club de Bamako x Onze Créateurs
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Lafia Club de Bamako, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Lafia Club de Bamako.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lafia Club de Bamako x Onze Créateurs
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
