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Leyton Orient x Lincoln City Betting tips for November 21 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Leyton Orient x Lincoln City, Tuesday, 21/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 21/11/2023
19:45
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
1.98
X
3.30
Lincoln City Lincoln City
3.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Leyton Orient x Lincoln City:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Leyton Orient wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leyton Orient, you can win up to $990.00!

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The main points for the tip for Leyton Orient x Lincoln City:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leyton Orient in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-79.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lincoln City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Leyton Orient scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Lincoln City matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Leyton Orient matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Leyton Orient conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Leyton Orient x Lincoln City

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Leyton Orient x Lincoln City?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2023. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Leyton Orient x Lincoln City for the England League 1 – 21 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Leyton Orient X Lincoln City – England League 1
๐Ÿ“… 21 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Leyton Orient – Winning probability: 62.06% | Fair line: 1.61
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.04% | Fair line: 4.16
๐Ÿ”ด Lincoln City – Winning probability: 13.90% | Fair line: 7.19
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Leyton Orient
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leyton Orient x Lincoln City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024310 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Leyton Orient x Lincoln City

Is betting on Leyton Orient worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Leyton Orient: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $607.60;
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$227.60.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$208.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lincoln City?

๐Ÿ”ด Lincoln City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $364.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$496.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Leyton Orient x Lincoln City

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Leyton Orient
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leyton Orient x Lincoln City

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Leyton Orient and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Leyton Orient.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Lincoln City.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leyton Orient x Lincoln City

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves