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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Los Andes x San Martin De Burzaco Betting tips for May 3 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Friday, 03 May 2024, 23h00 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Los Andes Los Andes
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
San Martin De Burzaco San Martin De Burzaco
ODD: @3.01 Don't miss this prediction!

Los Andes x San Martin De Burzaco Betting tips for May 3 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Los Andes x San Martin De Burzaco, Friday, 3/5/2024
๐Ÿ“… 3/5/2024
23:00
Los Andes Los Andes
1.80
X
3.01
San Martin De Burzaco San Martin De Burzaco
4.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Los Andes x San Martin De Burzaco:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1505.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Los Andes x San Martin De Burzaco:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Los Andes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $205.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on San Martin De Burzaco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ San Martin De Burzaco did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 San Martin De Burzaco matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, San Martin De Burzaco conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for San Martin De Burzaco as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Los Andes x San Martin De Burzaco?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Los Andes x San Martin De Burzaco, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Los Andes x San Martin De Burzaco for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 3 of May

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Los Andes X San Martin De Burzaco – Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
๐Ÿ“… 3 of May, 2024 – 23:00
๐Ÿ”ต Los Andes – Winning probability: 48.74% | Fair line: 2.05
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.35% | Fair line: 2.54
๐Ÿ”ด San Martin De Burzaco – Winning probability: 11.91% | Fair line: 8.4
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Los Andes
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Los Andes x San Martin De Burzaco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1110529 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Los Andes x San Martin De Burzaco

Is betting on Los Andes worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Los Andes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $392.00;
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$118.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.01. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $783.90;
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$173.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on San Martin De Burzaco?

๐Ÿ”ด San Martin De Burzaco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $432.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$448.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Los Andes x San Martin De Burzaco

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Los Andes
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Los Andes x San Martin De Burzaco

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Los Andes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Los Andes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Los Andes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Los Andes x San Martin De Burzaco

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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