Luarca CF x Urraca CF Betting tips for January 15 in Spain Tercera Group 2

Our betting tip for Luarca CF x Urraca CF, Saturday, 15/1/2022

📅 15/1/2022 15:30

Luarca CF 3.45

X 2.75

Urraca CF 2.15

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Luarca CF x Urraca CF:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Luarca CF x Urraca CF

📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Luarca CF x Urraca CF

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Analysis from Luarca CF x Urraca CF for the Spain Tercera Group 2 – 15 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Luarca CF and Urraca CF.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Luarca CF x Urraca CF

Is it worth betting on Luarca CF?

🔵 Luarca CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $441.00
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$379.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $647.50;
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$17.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on Urraca CF?

🔴 Urraca CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$32.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Luarca CF x Urraca CF

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Luarca CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Luarca CF x Urraca CF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Luarca CF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Luarca CF.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Urraca CF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Luarca CF x Urraca CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Our tips are also on YouTube

Besides the artificial intelligence that you have here, our sporting bets experts are on YouTube searching for the best bets for Saturday. Right above you can check our last analysis and be a part of the community by subscribing on our betting tips channel on YouTube.

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