📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Maidenhead Utd x Halifax
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Analysis from Maidenhead Utd x Halifax for the England National League – 22 of January
🏟️ Maidenhead Utd X Halifax – England National League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Maidenhead Utd x Halifax right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Maidenhead Utd x Halifax
Is it a good idea to bet on Maidenhead Utd?
🔵 Maidenhead Utd: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – profiting $160.50;
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$789.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $556.50;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$233.50.
Should you bet on Halifax?
🔴 Halifax: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $518.00
- And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$258.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Maidenhead Utd x Halifax
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Maidenhead Utd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maidenhead Utd x Halifax
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Maidenhead Utd, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Maidenhead Utd.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Maidenhead Utd.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maidenhead Utd x Halifax
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves