📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Nacional x Benfica B
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Analysis from Nacional x Benfica B for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 16 of January
🏟️ Nacional X Benfica B – Portugal Segunda Liga
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nacional and Benfica B.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Nacional x Benfica B
Is it a good idea to bet on Nacional?
🔵 Nacional: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $563.50
- And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$53.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $529.00;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$241.00.
Is betting on Benfica B worth it?
🔴 Benfica B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $576.80;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$143.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional x Benfica B
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Nacional
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional x Benfica B
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Nacional and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Nacional.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Benfica B.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional x Benfica B
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Sunday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves