Nacional De Football x Racing Club de Montevideo Betting tips for May 3 in Uruguay Apertura
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3/5/2024 23:00 |
 Nacional De Football1.40 |
X 4.26 |
Racing Club de Montevideo  6.40 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nacional De Football x Racing Club de Montevideo:
๐ฎ Nacional De Football wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional De Football, you can win up to $700.00!
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Important information for your tip for Nacional De Football x Racing Club de Montevideo: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Nacional De Football in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $151.0. |
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Analysis from Nacional De Football x Racing Club de Montevideo for the Uruguay Apertura – 3 of May
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๐๏ธ Nacional De Football X Racing Club de Montevideo – Uruguay Apertura |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nacional De Football and Racing Club de Montevideo.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1110529 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Nacional De Football x Racing Club de Montevideo
Should you bet on Nacional De Football?
๐ต Nacional De Football: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 770 times – profiting $308.00;
- And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$78.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $586.80;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$233.20.
Is it worth betting on Racing Club de Montevideo?
๐ด Racing Club de Montevideo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 50 times – profiting $270.00;
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$680.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional De Football x Racing Club de Montevideo
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Nacional De Football
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional De Football x Racing Club de Montevideo
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Nacional De Football and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Nacional De Football.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Racing Club de Montevideo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional De Football x Racing Club de Montevideo
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
