📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Nice U19 x Montpellier U19
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Analysis from Nice U19 x Montpellier U19 for the France U19 League – 22 of January
🏟️ Nice U19 X Montpellier U19 – France U19 League
When the best bet on Nice U19 x Montpellier U19 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Nice U19 x Montpellier U19
Is betting on Nice U19 worth it?
🔵 Nice U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $379.06
- And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$150.94.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $740.95;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$30.95, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on Montpellier U19 worth it?
🔴 Montpellier U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $628.80
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$131.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nice U19 x Montpellier U19
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Nice U19
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nice U19 x Montpellier U19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Nice U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Nice U19.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nice U19 x Montpellier U19
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves