| ๐
22/1/2022 12:30 |
 Nottm Forest1.94 |
X 3.32 |
Derby  4.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nottm Forest x Derby:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1660.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Nottm Forest x Derby
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Nottm Forest x Derby?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nottm Forest x Derby, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Nottm Forest x Derby for the England Championship – 22 of January
|
๐๏ธ Nottm Forest X Derby – England Championship |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nottm Forest and Derby.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Nottm Forest x Derby
Is betting on Nottm Forest worth it?
๐ต Nottm Forest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $488.80;
- And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just ๐ฐ$8.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $858.40;
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$228.40.
Is it worth betting on Derby?
๐ด Derby: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $330.00
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$560.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nottm Forest x Derby
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Nottm Forest
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nottm Forest x Derby
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Nottm Forest and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Nottm Forest. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nottm Forest x Derby
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Saturday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
Join our betting tips group on Telegram
Aside from our tips for Nottm Forest x Derby generated by our algorithm, you can also receive on your cellphone bets made by the experts from Clube da Aposta on this Saturday. Click on the banner below and join our VIP group on Telegram right now. And the best part: for free!
Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
