📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara
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Analysis from Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 20 of January
🏟️ Oaxaca X Universidad Guadalajara – Mexico Liga de Expansion
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Oaxaca and Universidad Guadalajara.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289909 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara
Is betting on Oaxaca worth it?
🔵 Oaxaca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $513.00;
- And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$37.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $749.00
- And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$99.00.
Is it worth betting on Universidad Guadalajara?
🔴 Universidad Guadalajara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$368.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Oaxaca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Oaxaca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Oaxaca.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves