📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for PAOK Salonika x AEK Athens
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Analysis from PAOK Salonika x AEK Athens for the Greece Cup – 19 of January
🏟️ PAOK Salonika X AEK Athens – Greece Cup
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PAOK Salonika and AEK Athens.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289741 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for PAOK Salonika x AEK Athens
Is it a good idea to bet on PAOK Salonika?
🔵 PAOK Salonika: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.19. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – profiting $523.60;
- And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$36.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $709.50
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$39.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it a good idea to bet on AEK Athens?
🔴 AEK Athens: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $496.80
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$273.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match PAOK Salonika x AEK Athens
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 PAOK Salonika
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PAOK Salonika x AEK Athens
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 PAOK Salonika, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 PAOK Salonika.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 PAOK Salonika.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PAOK Salonika x AEK Athens
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves