📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Persela Lamongan x Persija Jakarta
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Analysis from Persela Lamongan x Persija Jakarta for the Indonesia Liga 1 – 15 of January
🏟️ Persela Lamongan X Persija Jakarta – Indonesia Liga 1
When the best bet on Persela Lamongan x Persija Jakarta is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Persela Lamongan x Persija Jakarta
Is it worth betting on Persela Lamongan?
🔵 Persela Lamongan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$340.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $560.50;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$249.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Persija Jakarta?
🔴 Persija Jakarta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $345.00
- And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$35.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Persela Lamongan x Persija Jakarta
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Persela Lamongan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Persela Lamongan x Persija Jakarta
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Persela Lamongan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Persela Lamongan.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Persija Jakarta.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Persela Lamongan x Persija Jakarta
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves