📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Port Vale x Salford City
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Analysis from Port Vale x Salford City for the England League 2 – 18 of January
🏟️ Port Vale X Salford City – England League 2
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Port Vale and Salford City.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289715 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Port Vale x Salford City
Is betting on Port Vale worth it?
🔵 Port Vale: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
- And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$92.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $568.75
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$181.25.
Should you bet on Salford City?
🔴 Salford City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $554.30;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$215.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Port Vale x Salford City
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Port Vale
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Port Vale x Salford City
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Port Vale, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Port Vale.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Salford City.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Port Vale x Salford City
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves