📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for PSM Makassar x Persik Kediri
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Analysis from PSM Makassar x Persik Kediri for the Indonesia Liga 1 – 18 of January
🏟️ PSM Makassar X Persik Kediri – Indonesia Liga 1
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSM Makassar x Persik Kediri right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288868 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for PSM Makassar x Persik Kediri
Is it worth betting on PSM Makassar?
🔵 PSM Makassar: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.69. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $331.20
- And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$188.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $744.00
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$54.00.
Is it worth betting on Persik Kediri?
🔴 Persik Kediri: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $714.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match PSM Makassar x Persik Kediri
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 PSM Makassar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSM Makassar x Persik Kediri
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 PSM Makassar and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 PSM Makassar.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSM Makassar x Persik Kediri
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves