📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for PSS Sleman x Madura United
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Analysis from PSS Sleman x Madura United for the Indonesia Liga 1 – 18 of January
🏟️ PSS Sleman X Madura United – Indonesia Liga 1
When the best bet on PSS Sleman x Madura United is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288868 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for PSS Sleman x Madura United
Is it worth betting on PSS Sleman?
🔵 PSS Sleman: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 480 times – profiting $460.80;
- And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$59.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $494.50;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$275.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Madura United?
🔴 Madura United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $725.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$15.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match PSS Sleman x Madura United
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 PSS Sleman
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSS Sleman x Madura United
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 PSS Sleman and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 PSS Sleman.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 PSS Sleman.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSS Sleman x Madura United
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves