📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Puerto Rico x Bahamas
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Analysis from Puerto Rico x Bahamas for the CONCACAF Nations League – 22 of November
🏟️ Puerto Rico X Bahamas – CONCACAF Nations League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Puerto Rico x Bahamas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024310 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Puerto Rico x Bahamas
Is it a good idea to bet on Puerto Rico?
🔵 Puerto Rico: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 990 times – profiting $69.30;
- And would lose other 10 times – having a loss of -$10.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$59.30, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
- And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Bahamas?
🔴 Bahamas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 23.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $220.00;
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$770.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Puerto Rico x Bahamas
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.0 Puerto Rico
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Puerto Rico x Bahamas
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -3.0 Puerto Rico and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.75 Puerto Rico.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.75 Puerto Rico.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Puerto Rico x Bahamas
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves