📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Rabo Peixe x SU Sintrense
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Analysis from Rabo Peixe x SU Sintrense for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 16 of January
🏟️ Rabo Peixe X SU Sintrense – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rabo Peixe x SU Sintrense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Rabo Peixe x SU Sintrense
Is it worth betting on Rabo Peixe?
🔵 Rabo Peixe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.69. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $473.20;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$246.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $630.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on SU Sintrense?
🔴 SU Sintrense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $592.00;
- And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$38.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Rabo Peixe x SU Sintrense
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Rabo Peixe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rabo Peixe x SU Sintrense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Rabo Peixe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Rabo Peixe.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rabo Peixe x SU Sintrense
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves