📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Red Star FC 93 x Chambly Thelle FC
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Analysis from Red Star FC 93 x Chambly Thelle FC for the France National – 21 of January
🏟️ Red Star FC 93 X Chambly Thelle FC – France National
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Red Star FC 93 x Chambly Thelle FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290581 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Red Star FC 93 x Chambly Thelle FC
Is betting on Red Star FC 93 worth it?
🔵 Red Star FC 93: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 760 times – having a profit of $509.20;
- And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$269.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $384.00
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$456.00.
Is it worth betting on Chambly Thelle FC?
🔴 Chambly Thelle FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $337.50;
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$572.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Red Star FC 93 x Chambly Thelle FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Red Star FC 93
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Red Star FC 93 x Chambly Thelle FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Red Star FC 93, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Red Star FC 93.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Red Star FC 93 x Chambly Thelle FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves