📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for SC Kfar Qasim x Maccabi Achi Nazareth
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Analysis from SC Kfar Qasim x Maccabi Achi Nazareth for the Israel Leumit Liga – 17 of January
🏟️ SC Kfar Qasim X Maccabi Achi Nazareth – Israel Leumit Liga
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SC Kfar Qasim x Maccabi Achi Nazareth right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288303 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Kfar Qasim x Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Is it a good idea to bet on SC Kfar Qasim?
🔵 SC Kfar Qasim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $453.25
- And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$56.75.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $647.90
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$42.10.
Should you bet on Maccabi Achi Nazareth?
🔴 Maccabi Achi Nazareth: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $525.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$275.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match SC Kfar Qasim x Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 SC Kfar Qasim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Kfar Qasim x Maccabi Achi Nazareth
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 SC Kfar Qasim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 SC Kfar Qasim.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Maccabi Achi Nazareth.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Kfar Qasim x Maccabi Achi Nazareth
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves